Is VRCA or VSTM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) and Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VRCA has a Quality of Company score of 5.4/10 while VSTM scores 5.8/10.

Which is a better buy — VRCA or VSTM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VRCA and VSTM valuations compare?

VRCA at $5.76 and VSTM at $4.33 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VRCA vs VSTM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VRCA

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Quality

5.4

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$5.76

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

VSTM

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Verastem, Inc.

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.33

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VRCA Fair Value	VRCA Upside	VSTM Fair Value	VSTM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.88	-67.4%	$2.16	-50.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$2.61	-54.7%	$2.19	-49.3%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VRCA vs VSTM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VSTM scores higher with a 5.8/10 quality rating vs VRCA's 5.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRCA) and Verastem, Inc. (VSTM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VRCA currently trades at $5.76 with a QOC of 5.4/10, while VSTM trades at $4.33 with a QOC of 5.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).