Is VLY or WAL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Valley National Bancorp (VLY) and Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. VLY has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while WAL scores 6.2/10.

Which is a better buy — VLY or WAL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do VLY and WAL valuations compare?

VLY at $13.72 and WAL at $78.64 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

VLY vs WAL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

VLY

Banks - Regional

Valley National Bancorp

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$13.72

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

WAL

Banks - Regional

Western Alliance Bancorporation

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$78.64

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VLY Fair Value	VLY Upside	WAL Fair Value	WAL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.17	-76.9%	$67.93	-13.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$11.32	-17.5%	$89.42	+13.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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VLY vs WAL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

VLY scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs WAL's 6.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Valley National Bancorp (VLY) and Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

VLY currently trades at $13.72 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while WAL trades at $78.64 with a QOC of 6.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).