TW vs VIRT

Tradeweb Markets Inc. vs Virtu Financial, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TW scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs VIRT's 8.3/10. TW trades at $97.98 while VIRT trades at $49.51. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TW

Capital Markets
Tradeweb Markets Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$97.98
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

VIRT

Capital Markets
Virtu Financial, Inc.
Quality
8.3
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$49.51
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
TW
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VIRT
Quality Score 8.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TW vs VIRT — Fair Value Comparison

TW
$0$39$77$116 Price$97.98 Bayesian …$95.70 (-2.3%) Earnings …$40.80 (-58.4%)
VIRT
$0$19$39$58 Price$49.51 Bayesian …$29.44 (-40.5%) Earnings …$30.61 (-38.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TW Fair ValueTW Upside VIRT Fair ValueVIRT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $95.70 -2.3% $29.44 -40.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $40.80 -58.4% $30.61 -38.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TW vs VIRT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TW scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs VIRT's 8.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TW and VIRT Valuations Compare?

At $97.98, TW trades +2.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $95.70, while VIRT at $49.51 trades +40.5% above its estimate of $29.44. VIRT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TW vs VIRT

TW earns a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 compared to VIRT's 8.3/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TW vs VIRT

TW carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while VIRT shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Capital Markets

Both TW and VIRT operate in Capital Markets, which has 86 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare TW vs VIRT differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Capital Markets stocks →