OWL vs OXLCN

Blue Owl Capital Inc. vs Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - 7.1 — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OWL scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs OXLCN's 1.6/10. OWL trades at $10.07 while OXLCN trades at $24.94. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OWL

Asset Management
Blue Owl Capital Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
23
SAFE
Price
$10.07
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

OXLCN

Asset Management
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - 7.1
Quality
1.6
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$24.94
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
OWL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OXLCN
Bayesian DCF sees +146.4% upside
Quality 1.6/10 — below average

OWL vs OXLCN — Fair Value Comparison

OWL
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.07 Bayesian …$7.70 (-23.5%) First Chi…$3.40 (-65.7%)
OXLCN
$0$24$48$72 Price$24.94 Bayesian …$61.01 (+146.4%) Markov DDM$18.72 (-24.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType OWL Fair ValueOWL Upside OXLCN Fair ValueOXLCN Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $7.70 -23.5% $61.01 +146.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $3.40 -65.7%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $18.72 -24.9%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

OWL vs OXLCN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OWL scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs OXLCN's 1.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OWL and OXLCN Valuations Compare?

At $10.07, OWL trades +23.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.70, while OXLCN at $24.94 trades +146.4% below its estimate of $61.01. OXLCN shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OWL vs OXLCN

OWL earns a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 compared to OXLCN's 1.6/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OWL vs OXLCN

Review the value trap analysis for both OWL and OXLCN to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Asset Management

Both OWL and OXLCN operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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