Is OLPX or WALD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (OLPX) and Waldencast plc (WALD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. OLPX has a Quality of Company score of 7.1/10 while WALD scores 5.2/10.

Which is a better buy — OLPX or WALD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do OLPX and WALD valuations compare?

OLPX at $2.04 and WALD at $1.23 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

OLPX vs WALD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

OLPX

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Olaplex Holdings, Inc.

Quality

7.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.04

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

WALD

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Waldencast plc

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$1.23

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	OLPX Fair Value	OLPX Upside	WALD Fair Value	WALD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.61	+77.0%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.03	-98.6%	$2.66	+176.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$1.07	-47.4%	$1.23	-0.1%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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OLPX vs WALD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OLPX scores higher with a 7.1/10 quality rating vs WALD's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (OLPX) and Waldencast plc (WALD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

OLPX currently trades at $2.04 with a QOC of 7.1/10, while WALD trades at $1.23 with a QOC of 5.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).