OFS vs OWL

OFS Capital Corporation vs Blue Owl Capital Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OWL scores higher on quality with 7.4/10 vs OFS's 4.7/10. OFS trades at $3.42 while OWL trades at $10.07. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

OFS

Asset Management
OFS Capital Corporation
Quality
4.7
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$3.42
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

OWL

Asset Management
Blue Owl Capital Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
23
SAFE
Price
$10.07
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
OFS
Bayesian DCF sees +446.4% upside
Quality 4.7/10 — below average
OWL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

OFS vs OWL — Fair Value Comparison

OFS
$0$7$15$22 Price$3.42 Bayesian …$18.69 (+446.4%) Markov DDM$9.37 (+174.0%)
OWL
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.07 Bayesian …$7.70 (-23.5%) First Chi…$3.40 (-65.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType OFS Fair ValueOFS Upside OWL Fair ValueOWL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $18.69 +446.4% $7.70 -23.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $3.72 +10.7% $3.40 -65.7%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $9.37 +174.0%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

OFS vs OWL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OWL scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs OFS's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do OFS and OWL Valuations Compare?

At $3.42, OFS trades +446.4% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $18.69, while OWL at $10.07 trades +23.5% above its estimate of $7.70. OFS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: OFS vs OWL

OFS earns a Quality of Company score of 4.7/10 compared to OWL's 7.4/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: OFS vs OWL

OFS carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while OWL shows SAFE risk (23/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Asset Management

Both OFS and OWL operate in Asset Management, which has 448 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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