Is NEWP or NVA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) and Nova Minerals Limited (NVA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. NEWP has a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 while NVA scores 5.6/10.

Which is a better buy — NEWP or NVA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do NEWP and NVA valuations compare?

NEWP at $4.94 and NVA at $6.72 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

NEWP vs NVA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

NEWP

Gold and Silver Ores

New Pacific Metals Corp.

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$4.94

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

NVA

Gold and Silver Ores

Nova Minerals Limited

Quality

5.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$6.72

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	NEWP Fair Value	NEWP Upside	NVA Fair Value	NVA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.29	-73.9%	$1.43	-78.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.31	-94.7%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$4.48	-9.3%	$5.37	-20.1%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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NEWP vs NVA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NVA scores higher with a 5.6/10 quality rating vs NEWP's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing New Pacific Metals Corp. (NEWP) and Nova Minerals Limited (NVA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

NEWP currently trades at $4.94 with a QOC of 2.1/10, while NVA trades at $6.72 with a QOC of 5.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).