Is MTH or TMHC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) and Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio (TMHC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MTH has a Quality of Company score of 6.8/10 while TMHC scores 9.5/10.

Which is a better buy — MTH or TMHC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MTH and TMHC valuations compare?

MTH at $65.24 and TMHC at $58.50 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MTH vs TMHC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MTH

Operative Builders

Meritage Homes Corporation

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$65.24

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

TMHC

Operative Builders

Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio

Quality

9.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$58.50

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MTH Fair Value	MTH Upside	TMHC Fair Value	TMHC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$12.13	-81.4%	$106.50	+82.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$25.81	-60.4%	$19.74	-66.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MTH vs TMHC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

TMHC scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs MTH's 6.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) and Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio (TMHC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MTH currently trades at $65.24 with a QOC of 6.8/10, while TMHC trades at $58.50 with a QOC of 9.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).