Is MOS or NTR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) and Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MOS has a Quality of Company score of 7.0/10 while NTR scores 8.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MOS or NTR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MOS and NTR valuations compare?

MOS at $24.06 and NTR at $69.65 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MOS vs NTR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MOS

Agricultural Inputs

Mosaic Company (The)

Quality

7.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$24.06

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

NTR

Agricultural Inputs

Nutrien Ltd.

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$69.65

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MOS Fair Value	MOS Upside	NTR Fair Value	NTR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$141.45	+487.9%	$44.67	-35.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$21.42	-7.5%	$105.05	+50.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MOS vs NTR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

NTR scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs MOS's 7.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) and Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MOS currently trades at $24.06 with a QOC of 7.0/10, while NTR trades at $69.65 with a QOC of 8.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).