Is MLCI or OWL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) and Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. MLCI has a Quality of Company score of 3.8/10 while OWL scores 7.4/10.

Which is a better buy — MLCI or OWL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do MLCI and OWL valuations compare?

MLCI at $3.18 and OWL at $10.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

MLCI vs OWL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

MLCI

Investment Advice

Mount Logan Capital Inc.

Quality

3.8

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$3.18

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

OWL

Investment Advice

Blue Owl Capital Inc.

Quality

7.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$10.28

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	MLCI Fair Value	MLCI Upside	OWL Fair Value	OWL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$8.81	-14.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$1.21	-63.6%	$3.40	-65.7%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$1.06	-74.5%	—	—
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$6.26	+97.0%	$2.90	-70.9%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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MLCI vs OWL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

OWL scores higher with a 7.4/10 quality rating vs MLCI's 3.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) and Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

MLCI currently trades at $3.18 with a QOC of 3.8/10, while OWL trades at $10.28 with a QOC of 7.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).