Is LOT or LVWR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) and LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. LOT has a Quality of Company score of 2.6/10 while LVWR scores 5.7/10.

Which is a better buy — LOT or LVWR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do LOT and LVWR valuations compare?

LOT at $1.28 and LVWR at $1.50 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

LOT vs LVWR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

LOT

Auto Manufacturers

Lotus Technology Inc.

Quality

2.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.28

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

LVWR

Auto Manufacturers

LiveWire Group, Inc.

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.50

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	LOT Fair Value	LOT Upside	LVWR Fair Value	LVWR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.34	-73.5%	$0.44	-70.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$2.46	+88.9%	$0.08	-95.0%
PWERM	Option-Based	$3.88	+198.3%	$1.64	+9.3%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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LOT vs LVWR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

LVWR scores higher with a 5.7/10 quality rating vs LOT's 2.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Lotus Technology Inc. (LOT) and LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

LOT currently trades at $1.28 with a QOC of 2.6/10, while LVWR trades at $1.50 with a QOC of 5.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).