HMC vs LVWR

Honda Motor Company, Ltd. vs LiveWire Group, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — LVWR scores higher on quality with 5.7/10 vs HMC's 1.9/10. HMC trades at $26.48 while LVWR trades at $1.39. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

HMC

Auto Manufacturers
Honda Motor Company, Ltd.
Quality
1.9
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$26.48
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
VS

LVWR

Auto Manufacturers
LiveWire Group, Inc.
Quality
5.7
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1.39
Last close
Models
8/13
Active
HMC
2 models active
Quality 1.9/10 — below average
LVWR
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

HMC vs LVWR — Fair Value Comparison

HMC
$0$10$21$31 Price$26.48 Bayesian …$8.63 (-67.4%) Earnings …$11.10 (-54.4%)
LVWR
$0$1$1$2 Price$1.39 Bayesian …$0.40 (-71.4%) Dynamic N…$0.08 (-94.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType HMC Fair ValueHMC Upside LVWR Fair ValueLVWR Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $8.63 -67.4% $0.40 -71.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $11.10 -54.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $28.58 +7.9% $0.08 -94.6%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

HMC vs LVWR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

LVWR scores higher with a 5.7/10 quality rating vs HMC's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do HMC and LVWR Valuations Compare?

At $26.48, HMC trades +67.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.63, while LVWR at $1.39 trades +71.4% above its estimate of $0.40. LVWR shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: HMC vs LVWR

HMC earns a Quality of Company score of 1.9/10 compared to LVWR's 5.7/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: HMC vs LVWR

Review the value trap analysis for both HMC and LVWR to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Auto Manufacturers

Both HMC and LVWR operate in Auto Manufacturers, which has 29 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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