GPC vs HLLY

Genuine Parts Company vs Holley Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — HLLY scores higher on quality with 9.3/10 vs GPC's 8.2/10. GPC trades at $99.35 while HLLY trades at $2.62. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

GPC

Auto Parts
Genuine Parts Company
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
14
SAFE
Price
$99.35
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

HLLY

Auto Parts
Holley Inc.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$2.62
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
GPC
Quality Score 8.2/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
HLLY
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

GPC vs HLLY — Fair Value Comparison

GPC
$0$39$78$117 Price$99.35 Bayesian …$59.26 (-40.4%) Earnings …$27.24 (-72.6%)
HLLY
$0$1$2$3 Price$2.62 Bayesian …$0.64 (-75.5%) Earnings …$1.08 (-58.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType GPC Fair ValueGPC Upside HLLY Fair ValueHLLY Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $59.26 -40.4% $0.64 -75.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $27.24 -72.6% $1.08 -58.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

GPC vs HLLY — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

HLLY scores higher with a 9.3/10 quality rating vs GPC's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do GPC and HLLY Valuations Compare?

At $99.35, GPC trades +40.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $59.26, while HLLY at $2.62 trades +75.5% above its estimate of $0.64. HLLY shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: GPC vs HLLY

GPC earns a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 compared to HLLY's 9.3/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: GPC vs HLLY

GPC carries a SAFE value trap risk (14/100) while HLLY shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Auto Parts

Both GPC and HLLY operate in Auto Parts, which has 52 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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