Is EC or EOG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EC has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while EOG scores 9.5/10.

Which is a better buy — EC or EOG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EC and EOG valuations compare?

EC at $14.61 and EOG at $133.38 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EC vs EOG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EC

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Ecopetrol S.A.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$14.61

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

EOG

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

EOG Resources, Inc.

Quality

9.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$133.38

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EC Fair Value	EC Upside	EOG Fair Value	EOG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.66	-68.1%	$290.98	+118.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$4.05	-70.6%	$89.24	-33.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EC vs EOG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EOG scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs EC's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) and EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EC currently trades at $14.61 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while EOG trades at $133.38 with a QOC of 9.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).