Is CTM or DAIC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Castellum, Inc. (CTM) and CID HoldCo, Inc. (DAIC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CTM has a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 while DAIC scores 4.8/10.

Which is a better buy — CTM or DAIC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CTM and DAIC valuations compare?

CTM at $0.86 and DAIC at $0.14 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CTM vs DAIC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CTM

Information Technology Services

Castellum, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$0.86

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

DAIC

Information Technology Services

CID HoldCo, Inc.

Quality

4.8

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$0.14

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CTM Fair Value	CTM Upside	DAIC Fair Value	DAIC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.21	-75.6%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.70	-18.4%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$0.45	-48.2%	$0.04	-82.4%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$0.79	-8.3%	$0.21	+51.0%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CTM vs DAIC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CTM scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs DAIC's 4.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Castellum, Inc. (CTM) and CID HoldCo, Inc. (DAIC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CTM currently trades at $0.86 with a QOC of 6.5/10, while DAIC trades at $0.14 with a QOC of 4.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).