Is COGT or COYA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) and Coya Therapeutics, Inc. (COYA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. COGT has a Quality of Company score of 4.5/10 while COYA scores 5.5/10.

Which is a better buy — COGT or COYA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do COGT and COYA valuations compare?

COGT at $34.96 and COYA at $4.82 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

COGT vs COYA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

COGT

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Cogent Biosciences, Inc.

Quality

4.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$34.96

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

COYA

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Coya Therapeutics, Inc.

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$4.82

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	COGT Fair Value	COGT Upside	COYA Fair Value	COYA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$9.82	-71.9%	$2.39	-50.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$16.18	-56.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.15	-99.6%	$0.11	-97.5%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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COGT vs COYA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

COYA scores higher with a 5.5/10 quality rating vs COGT's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) and Coya Therapeutics, Inc. (COYA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

COGT currently trades at $34.96 with a QOC of 4.5/10, while COYA trades at $4.82 with a QOC of 5.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).