Is CNTB or COGT more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Connect Biopharma Holdings Limi (CNTB) and Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CNTB has a Quality of Company score of 5.1/10 while COGT scores 4.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CNTB or COGT?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CNTB and COGT valuations compare?

CNTB at $2.38 and COGT at $35.38 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CNTB vs COGT Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CNTB

Biotechnology

Connect Biopharma Holdings Limi

Quality

5.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.38

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

COGT

Biotechnology

Cogent Biosciences, Inc.

Quality

4.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$35.38

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CNTB Fair Value	CNTB Upside	COGT Fair Value	COGT Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.07	-54.9%	$10.62	-70.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$16.18	-56.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.85	-64.2%	$0.15	-99.6%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CNTB vs COGT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CNTB scores higher with a 5.1/10 quality rating vs COGT's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Connect Biopharma Holdings Limi (CNTB) and Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (COGT) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CNTB currently trades at $2.38 with a QOC of 5.1/10, while COGT trades at $35.38 with a QOC of 4.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).