CNH vs FSS

CNH Industrial N.V. vs Federal Signal Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — FSS scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs CNH's 2.3/10. CNH trades at $10.95 while FSS trades at $106.45. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CNH

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
CNH Industrial N.V.
Quality
2.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.95
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

FSS

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Federal Signal Corporation
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$106.45
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
CNH
2 models active
Quality 2.3/10 — below average
FSS
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

CNH vs FSS — Fair Value Comparison

CNH
$0$4$9$13 Price$10.95 Bayesian …$2.66 (-75.7%) EROIC Spr…$4.07 (-62.4%)
FSS
$0$42$84$126 Price$106.45 Bayesian …$15.13 (-85.8%) Earnings …$31.77 (-70.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CNH Fair ValueCNH Upside FSS Fair ValueFSS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $2.66 -75.7% $15.13 -85.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $31.77 -70.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $4.07 -62.4% $25.58 -76.0%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CNH vs FSS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FSS scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs CNH's 2.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CNH and FSS Valuations Compare?

At $10.95, CNH trades +75.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.66, while FSS at $106.45 trades +85.8% above its estimate of $15.13. FSS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: CNH vs FSS

CNH earns a Quality of Company score of 2.3/10 compared to FSS's 9.5/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CNH vs FSS

Review the value trap analysis for both CNH and FSS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Both CNH and FSS operate in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, which has 24 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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