Is CFFN or CHMG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) and Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CFFN has a Quality of Company score of 7.8/10 while CHMG scores 8.1/10.

Which is a better buy — CFFN or CHMG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CFFN and CHMG valuations compare?

CFFN at $7.80 and CHMG at $69.37 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CFFN vs CHMG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CFFN

Banks - Regional

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc.

Quality

7.8

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$7.80

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CHMG

Banks - Regional

Chemung Financial Corp

Quality

8.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$69.37

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CFFN Fair Value	CFFN Upside	CHMG Fair Value	CHMG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.71	-39.6%	$41.20	-40.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.25	-7.0%	$29.03	-58.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CFFN vs CHMG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CHMG scores higher with a 8.1/10 quality rating vs CFFN's 7.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (CFFN) and Chemung Financial Corp (CHMG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CFFN currently trades at $7.80 with a QOC of 7.8/10, while CHMG trades at $69.37 with a QOC of 8.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).