Is CERT or EVH more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Certara, Inc. (CERT) and Evolent Health, Inc (EVH) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CERT has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while EVH scores 4.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CERT or EVH?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CERT and EVH valuations compare?

CERT at $5.67 and EVH at $3.90 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CERT vs EVH Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CERT

Health Information Services

Certara, Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$5.67

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

EVH

Health Information Services

Evolent Health, Inc

Quality

4.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$3.90

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CERT Fair Value	CERT Upside	EVH Fair Value	EVH Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$10.04	+77.1%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.73	+71.6%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$13.31	+134.7%	$3.90	-0.1%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$10.05	+77.3%	$11.85	+209.8%

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CERT vs EVH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CERT scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs EVH's 4.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Certara, Inc. (CERT) and Evolent Health, Inc (EVH) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CERT currently trades at $5.67 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while EVH trades at $3.90 with a QOC of 4.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).