CARL vs DRIO

Carlsmed, Inc. vs DarioHealth Corp. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CARL scores higher on quality with 6.6/10 vs DRIO's 6.3/10. CARL trades at $10.17 while DRIO trades at $7.65. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CARL

Health Information Services
Carlsmed, Inc.
Quality
6.6
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$10.17
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

DRIO

Health Information Services
DarioHealth Corp.
Quality
6.3
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$7.65
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
CARL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
DRIO
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

CARL vs DRIO — Fair Value Comparison

CARL
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.17 Bayesian …$4.05 (-60.1%) Earnings …$6.69 (-29.5%)
DRIO
$0$3$6$9 Price$7.65 Bayesian …$1.28 (-83.3%) Earnings …$3.96 (-45.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CARL Fair ValueCARL Upside DRIO Fair ValueDRIO Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $4.05 -60.1% $1.28 -83.3%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $6.69 -29.5% $3.96 -45.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CARL vs DRIO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CARL scores higher with a 6.6/10 quality rating vs DRIO's 6.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CARL and DRIO Valuations Compare?

At $10.17, CARL trades +60.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.05, while DRIO at $7.65 trades +83.3% above its estimate of $1.28. DRIO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: CARL vs DRIO

CARL earns a Quality of Company score of 6.6/10 compared to DRIO's 6.3/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CARL vs DRIO

Review the value trap analysis for both CARL and DRIO to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Health Information Services

Both CARL and DRIO operate in Health Information Services, which has 46 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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