BMEA vs CABA

Biomea Fusion, Inc. vs Cabaletta Bio, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CABA scores higher on quality with 4.4/10 vs BMEA's 4.0/10. BMEA trades at $1.37 while CABA trades at $3.68. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BMEA

Biotechnology
Biomea Fusion, Inc.
Quality
4.0
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$1.37
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

CABA

Biotechnology
Cabaletta Bio, Inc.
Quality
4.4
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$3.68
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
BMEA
2 models active
Quality 4.0/10 — below average
CABA
2 models active
Quality 4.4/10 — below average

BMEA vs CABA — Fair Value Comparison

BMEA
$0$1$1$2 Price$1.37 Bayesian …$0.51 (-63.1%) Earnings …$1.22 (-10.6%)
CABA
$0$1$3$4 Price$3.68 Bayesian …$1.08 (-70.8%) Dynamic N…$1.45 (-60.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BMEA Fair ValueBMEA Upside CABA Fair ValueCABA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.51 -63.1% $1.08 -70.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.22 -10.6%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $1.65 +20.6% $1.45 -60.5%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BMEA vs CABA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CABA scores higher with a 4.4/10 quality rating vs BMEA's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BMEA and CABA Valuations Compare?

At $1.37, BMEA trades +63.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.51, while CABA at $3.68 trades +70.8% above its estimate of $1.08. CABA shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BMEA vs CABA

BMEA earns a Quality of Company score of 4.0/10 compared to CABA's 4.4/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BMEA vs CABA

BMEA carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while CABA shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Biotechnology

Both BMEA and CABA operate in Biotechnology, which has 566 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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