BIRD vs CATO

Allbirds, Inc. vs Cato Corporation (The) — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CATO scores higher on quality with 7.8/10 vs BIRD's 4.6/10. BIRD trades at $4.43 while CATO trades at $3.09. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BIRD

Apparel Retail
Allbirds, Inc.
Quality
4.6
out of 10
Value Trap
27
LOW
Price
$4.43
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

CATO

Apparel Retail
Cato Corporation (The)
Quality
7.8
out of 10
Value Trap
29
LOW
Price
$3.09
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
BIRD
Earnings Power Value sees +209.7% upside
Quality 4.6/10 — below average
CATO
Bayesian DCF sees +152.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BIRD vs CATO — Fair Value Comparison

BIRD
$0$8$16$24 Price$4.43 Bayesian …$0.05 (-98.8%) Earnings …$20.01 (+209.7%)
CATO
$0$3$6$9 Price$3.09 Bayesian …$7.80 (+152.5%) Earnings …$4.64 (+62.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BIRD Fair ValueBIRD Upside CATO Fair ValueCATO Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.05 -98.8% $7.80 +152.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $20.01 +209.7% $4.64 +62.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BIRD vs CATO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CATO scores higher with a 7.8/10 quality rating vs BIRD's 4.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BIRD and CATO Valuations Compare?

At $4.43, BIRD trades +98.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.05, while CATO at $3.09 trades +152.5% below its estimate of $7.80. CATO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BIRD vs CATO

BIRD earns a Quality of Company score of 4.6/10 compared to CATO's 7.8/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BIRD vs CATO

BIRD carries a LOW value trap risk (27/100) while CATO shows LOW risk (29/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Apparel Retail

Both BIRD and CATO operate in Apparel Retail, which has 30 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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