AXG vs BTBT

Solowin Holdings vs Bit Digital, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AXG scores higher on quality with 2.3/10 vs BTBT's 1.4/10. AXG trades at $3.45 while BTBT trades at $1.98. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AXG

Capital Markets
Solowin Holdings
Quality
2.3
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$3.45
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

BTBT

Capital Markets
Bit Digital, Inc.
Quality
1.4
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1.98
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
AXG
2 models active
Quality 2.3/10 — below average
BTBT
PWERM sees +57.7% upside
Quality 1.4/10 — below average

AXG vs BTBT — Fair Value Comparison

AXG
$0$1$3$4 Price$3.45 Bayesian …$0.89 (-74.1%) PWERM$3.25 (-5.8%)
BTBT
$0$1$2$4 Price$1.98 Bayesian …$0.51 (-74.3%) PWERM$3.12 (+57.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AXG Fair ValueAXG Upside BTBT Fair ValueBTBT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.89 -74.1% $0.51 -74.3%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $3.25 -5.8% $3.12 +57.7%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AXG vs BTBT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AXG scores higher with a 2.3/10 quality rating vs BTBT's 1.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AXG and BTBT Valuations Compare?

At $3.45, AXG trades +74.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.89, while BTBT at $1.98 trades +74.3% above its estimate of $0.51. BTBT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AXG vs BTBT

AXG earns a Quality of Company score of 2.3/10 compared to BTBT's 1.4/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AXG vs BTBT

Review the value trap analysis for both AXG and BTBT to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Capital Markets

Both AXG and BTBT operate in Capital Markets, which has 86 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare AXG vs BTBT differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Capital Markets stocks →