Is AUTL or BCDA more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) and BioCardia, Inc. (BCDA) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AUTL has a Quality of Company score of 5.6/10 while BCDA scores 4.4/10.

Which is a better buy — AUTL or BCDA?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AUTL and BCDA valuations compare?

AUTL at $1.87 and BCDA at $0.93 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AUTL vs BCDA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AUTL

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Autolus Therapeutics plc

Quality

5.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.87

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

BCDA

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

BioCardia, Inc.

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$0.93

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AUTL Fair Value	AUTL Upside	BCDA Fair Value	BCDA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.32	-82.7%	$0.28	-70.0%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$1.13	-39.7%	$0.02	-98.0%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$0.31	-83.4%	$1.52	+63.6%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AUTL vs BCDA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AUTL scores higher with a 5.6/10 quality rating vs BCDA's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) and BioCardia, Inc. (BCDA) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AUTL currently trades at $1.87 with a QOC of 5.6/10, while BCDA trades at $0.93 with a QOC of 4.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).