Is ARVN or ATAI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) and AtaiBeckley Inc. (ATAI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARVN has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while ATAI scores 4.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ARVN or ATAI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARVN and ATAI valuations compare?

ARVN at $8.84 and ATAI at $4.41 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARVN vs ATAI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARVN

Biotechnology

Arvinas, Inc.

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$8.84

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

ATAI

Biotechnology

AtaiBeckley Inc.

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$4.41

Last close

Models

5/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARVN Fair Value	ARVN Upside	ATAI Fair Value	ATAI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.43	-72.5%	$1.04	-76.5%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$1.47	-83.8%	$2.35	-46.8%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARVN vs ATAI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ARVN scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs ATAI's 4.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) and AtaiBeckley Inc. (ATAI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARVN currently trades at $8.84 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while ATAI trades at $4.41 with a QOC of 4.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).