Is ARCT or ARVN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings (ARCT) and Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARCT has a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 while ARVN scores 6.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ARCT or ARVN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARCT and ARVN valuations compare?

ARCT at $7.92 and ARVN at $8.98 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARCT vs ARVN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARCT

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings

Quality

6.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$7.92

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

ARVN

Pharmaceutical Preparations

Arvinas, Inc.

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$8.98

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARCT Fair Value	ARCT Upside	ARVN Fair Value	ARVN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.10	-35.6%	$2.49	-72.3%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$1.95	-72.2%	$1.47	-83.8%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARCT vs ARVN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ARVN scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs ARCT's 6.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings (ARCT) and Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARCT currently trades at $7.92 with a QOC of 6.7/10, while ARVN trades at $8.98 with a QOC of 6.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).