AGH vs AOUT

Aureus Greenway Holdings Inc. vs American Outdoor Brands, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AOUT scores higher on quality with 6.3/10 vs AGH's 5.6/10. AGH trades at $4.33 while AOUT trades at $10.34. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AGH

Leisure
Aureus Greenway Holdings Inc.
Quality
5.6
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$4.33
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

AOUT

Leisure
American Outdoor Brands, Inc.
Quality
6.3
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$10.34
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
AGH
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
AOUT
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AGH vs AOUT — Fair Value Comparison

AGH
$0$2$3$5 Price$4.33 Bayesian …$1.27 (-70.7%) ML-RIV$0.78 (-82.1%)
AOUT
$0$4$8$12 Price$10.34 Bayesian …$2.94 (-71.6%) Earnings …$3.14 (-69.6%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AGH Fair ValueAGH Upside AOUT Fair ValueAOUT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $1.27 -70.7% $2.94 -71.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $3.14 -69.6%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $0.78 -82.1% $8.67 -16.2%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AGH vs AOUT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AOUT scores higher with a 6.3/10 quality rating vs AGH's 5.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AGH and AOUT Valuations Compare?

At $4.33, AGH trades +70.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.27, while AOUT at $10.34 trades +71.6% above its estimate of $2.94. AOUT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AGH vs AOUT

AGH earns a Quality of Company score of 5.6/10 compared to AOUT's 6.3/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AGH vs AOUT

AGH carries a SAFE value trap risk (8/100) while AOUT shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Leisure

Both AGH and AOUT operate in Leisure, which has 2 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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