ACEL vs GAMB

Accel Entertainment, Inc. vs Gambling.com Group Limited — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ACEL scores higher on quality with 9.0/10 vs GAMB's 1.9/10. ACEL trades at $12.00 while GAMB trades at $2.39. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ACEL

Gambling
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Quality
9.0
out of 10
Value Trap
5
SAFE
Price
$12.00
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

GAMB

Gambling
Gambling.com Group Limited
Quality
1.9
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$2.39
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
ACEL
Quality Score 9.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
GAMB
Earnings Power Value sees +165.1% upside
Quality 1.9/10 — below average

ACEL vs GAMB — Fair Value Comparison

ACEL
$0$5$9$14 Price$12.00 Bayesian …$5.27 (-56.1%) Earnings …$4.42 (-63.2%)
GAMB
$0$4$8$13 Price$2.39 Bayesian …$0.90 (-62.4%) Earnings …$10.68 (+165.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ACEL Fair ValueACEL Upside GAMB Fair ValueGAMB Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $5.27 -56.1% $0.90 -62.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.42 -63.2% $10.68 +165.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ACEL vs GAMB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ACEL scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs GAMB's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ACEL and GAMB Valuations Compare?

At $12.00, ACEL trades +56.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $5.27, while GAMB at $2.39 trades +62.4% above its estimate of $0.90. GAMB shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ACEL vs GAMB

ACEL earns a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 compared to GAMB's 1.9/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ACEL vs GAMB

Review the value trap analysis for both ACEL and GAMB to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Gambling

Both ACEL and GAMB operate in Gambling, which has 11 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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